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“股债跷跷板”效应下债基频现大额赎回 后市如何演绎?
对于当前债市表现及后市展望,华泰固收研报指出,近两日,债市在前期震荡格局中呈现偏弱态势,与股市、商品的强势形成鲜明对比。债市调整预期升温,核心源于三方面逻辑的变化:其一,近期风险资产表现强势,“股债跷跷板”效应尤为显著;其二,基本面预期出现边际修正;其三,债市目前拥挤度较高。展望后市,债市调整方向相对明确、波动可能放大,但利率上行的空间还不必过度悲观。
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