We develop indices of economic policy uncertainty for countries around the world. We develop a new method to measure economic policy uncertainty and test its dynamic relationship with …

2023年1月26日 · From Brexit and US-China trade tensions to the pandemic and war, successive shocks have combined to keep uncertainty elevated.

2023年1月7日 · Economic uncertainty refers to a situation in which the future economic environment is difficult to predict, and there is a high degree of risk or unknowns involved.

2022年9月29日 · Researchers have documented a rise in economic uncertainty in recent years, using text-based measures that track descriptions of economic conditions by the Economist …

2025年2月13日 · Release: Economic Policy Uncertainty. Units: Index, Not Seasonally Adjusted. Frequency: Daily, 7-Day. The daily news-based Economic Policy Uncertainty Index is based …

2025年1月14日 · The change in U.S. leadership increases global economic uncertainty in 2025. The incoming administration’s protectionist proposals have the power to reshape trade …

2024年10月15日 · Our analysis shows that a disconnect between the economy and the market increases the chances of a sudden jump in financial market volatility and a big drop in asset …

6 天之前 · The lack of clarity about tariffs and other policies could hurt hiring and investing. But the strong U.S. economy should provide a buffer. By Ben Casselman It is an axiom heard …

2024年1月15日 · More than half of chief economists (56%) expect the global economy to weaken this year, while 43% foresee unchanged or stronger conditions. A strong majority also believe …

2019年7月9日 · Effects on Key Economic Variables. Most researchers find that uncertainty shocks—or unexpected increases in uncertainty—reduce economic activity, raise …